“The Match” is entering its fourth edition, and this may be the most exciting since the original 2018 showdown between Phil Mickelson and Tiger Woods.
This year, Mickelson will be paired with Tom Brady, his partner from the second competition “The Match,” and will face one of the best young golfers in the game, Bryson DeChambeau. His partner will be Aaron Rodgers, who sets up a second NFL MVP battle in “The Match” history (Brady vs. Peyton Manning was the first).
Brady was named Super Bowl MVP in 2021, while Rodgers was named MVP of the 2020 NFL regular season.
There will be plenty of action and intrigue surrounding these stars, and punters are sure to want to participate. There are some solid bets players can take advantage of, with more to come as “The Match 4” approaches.
Here’s a complete betting guide for “The Match 4,” including odds, best prop bets, and a prediction for Phil Mickelson-Tom Brady vs. Bryson DeChambeau-Aaron Rodgers.
Betting odds for ‘The Match 4’
- Bryson DeChambeau-Aaron Rodgers (-182)
- Phil Mickelson-Tom Brady (+135)
Unsurprisingly, DeChambeau and Rodgers are the favorites to win “The Match 4.” DeChambeau has been the longest rider since the PGA Tour tee and the elevation changes at Moonlight Basin field in Montana will allow him to use his strength to his advantage. Rodgers is considered to be a better golfer than Brady.
Still, Mickelson won “The Match” head-to-head against Tiger Woods as a huge underdog, so Mickelson and Brady can’t be ruled out, especially since DeChambeau’s driving precision and his play around the green are streaks.
Prop bets for ‘The Match 4’
Here’s a look at the best prop bets for “The Match 4”.
- Get 1 winner (no tie): DeChambeau-Rodgers (-125) | Mickelson-Brady (-106)
- First to go up 1: DeChambeau-Rodgers (-137) | Mickelson-Brady (+105)
These two bets go hand in hand. If there is a winner of Hole 1, that means one team will be top 1. As such, these are good for matching.
The first hole is a 463-yard par 4 that plays significantly downhill. While DeChambeau has the distance advantage, he could run into trouble if he misses his momentum. Mickelson can still hit the ball far (he’s averaging 302.6 yards per drive compared to DeChambeau’s 322.4) and while both are equally inaccurate, ranking 186th (DeChambeau) and 189th (Mickelson) in driving precision, respectively, Mickelson is more likely to play it safe. in the opening hole.
As such, Mickelson and Brady are the best bet for an early lead. Trusting them with the odds of -106 and +105 is attractive.
- Longest teeing hole 1: Bryson DeChambeau (-200) | Phil Mickelson (+140)
- Longest teeing hole 6: Bryson DeChambeau (-200) | Phil Mickelson (+140)
- Longest teeing hole 8: Bryson DeChambeau (-200) | Phil Mickelson (+140)
DeChambeau averages nearly 20 yards more per drive than Mickelson. Hole 1 measures 463 yards, hole 6 measures 633 yards, and hole 8 measures 500 yards. DeChambeau will hit his driver as hard as he can to try and shorten these holes.
Could Mickelson get over him once in this showdown? Sure, especially if DeChambeau has a bug. But for the most part, betting against DeChambeau in a driving contest is insane. Trust him as the favorite in these three scenarios.
- Leader after six holes (no tie): DeChambeau-Rodgers (-137) | Mickelson-Brady (+105)
As mentioned, the sixth hole is 633 yards and is the second longest on the course. After that hole, DeChambeau and Rodgers should have an advantage since DeChambeau will find it easier to shorten the course than Mickelson. This scenario is worth relying on, even if we are a little concerned about how he and Rodgers will fare on the first hole.
Phil Mickelson vs. Bryson DeChambeau
Mickelson has had ups and downs lately. He won the PGA Championship at Kiawah Island in May, but kept shooting 11 more and missing the cut at the US Open. With that said, Mickelson made the cut in four of his last five events entering this week’s Rocket Mortgage Classic.
DeChambeau has been a bit more consistent than Mickelson. He hasn’t missed a cut in his last 10 events and has finished in the top 10 in three of those tournaments. He’s a great driver, but his lack of precision off the tee and his up-and-down approach game gets him into trouble.
DeChambeau, 27, is seen as a better golfer than Mickelson, 51, at this point in his careers. DeChambeau ranks fifth overall the Official World Golf Ranking while Mickelson is registered at 31. That explains why DeChambeau’s odds of winning the Open Championship (20-1) are much better than Mickelson’s (66-1).
DeChambeau has an advantage over Mickelson in “The Match,” and his case is further enhanced by the fact that his fellow fan probably has an advantage over his competition as well.
Tom Brady vs. Aaron Rodgers
Brady might be the greatest quarterback of all time, and he and the Buccaneers were able to beat Rodgers and the Packers twice last year, the second time in the NFC championship game, en route to a seventh title in Super Bowl for Brady.
But Rodgers has beaten Brady at golf. His best handicap is 3.5 while Brady’s is approximately 8.1. However, Rodgers believes that Brady is better than that.
“I don’t think Brady is an 8. I’ve played him and he’s good,” Rodgers said in an interview with Golf Magazine. “I’ve played with all those guys. Tony [Romo]Is a great player. Frosty [Ryan] and I … I have beaten him a couple of times, he has beaten me a couple of times. “
Rodgers has played competitive golf more than Brady, especially lately. Rodgers finished tied for ninth place at the Pebble Beach Pro-Am in 2020. He worked with Max Homa to get to the top 10.
Brady has played golf with the likes of Rory McIlroy and Jordan Spieth, but his only advantage over Rodgers is that he has participated in “The Match” alongside Mickelson before. So the advantage here goes to the 37-year-old Rodgers over the 43-year-old Brady.
Prediction for ‘The Match 4’
It is difficult to choose against Brady and Mickelson. They are all-time winners in their respective sports and have experience playing together on “The Match.”
But this course plays on the strength of DeChambeau. It’s long, but it’s also 7,500 feet above sea level, so you’ll be able to shorten it a bit. And Rodgers, as mentioned, is a solid golfer in his own right.
Mickelson has won this event twice as an underdog, so “The Match 4” should be competitive. But hope DeChambeau and Rodgers win.
Winners: Bryson DeChambeau and Aaron Rodgers