Both Survation and now YouGov show the same broad picture
Over the seventeen years since the PB was established, we have had a lot of shocks in the polls and the general approach when a company reports what appears to be a change is to state that we should wait to see if other companies find a similar picture.
After midweek Survation, we now have YouGov reporting a 4% CON lead, down from 13% the prior week. This appears to be a significant change.
Tonight we should get the latest Opinium biweekly poll and possibly other polls and it will be interesting to see if they follow the same trends.
The interesting thing here is that we are now entering voting territory that points to perhaps the Conservatives being deprived of their majority if this were to be repeated in a general election.
What I’ll look closely at on Opinium are the latest leader approval numbers.