Not long ago, President Joe Biden was spoken of as a transformative president, a second Franklin D. Roosevelt in terms of the internal agenda he would implement.
And there was substance to the request.
Earlier in his presidency, Biden had approved a $ 1.9 trillion stimulus package. Although its majority in both houses of Congress was meager, it turned out to be enough to push through a $ 1.2 trillion infrastructure bill.
Republican groups have backed Biden’s infrastructure bill.
A new $ 3.5 trillion Build Back Better social spending project to rival New Deal and Great Society measures has broad support – though not for its sticker price – and, even today, it still seems possible. .
So how are Biden and the administration he leads with the Americans who installed them? According to a stunning Washington Post-ABC News poll this weekend, not good, not good at all.
If the 2022 elections were held this November, registered voters would support Republican candidates over Democratic opponents 51-41.
The GOP voter advantage would translate into a rout of Democrats in the House of President Nancy Pelosi, loss of the Senate, two years of deadlock and a lame Biden presidency through 2023 and 2024.
If that post-ABC poll is accurate, the Democrats are staring into the abyss.
According to the survey, 70% of Americans have a negative view of how the economy is doing under Biden, while 38%, nearly 4 in 10, believe the economy is in “poor” condition.
“About half of Americans in general and political independents blame Biden for rapidly rising inflation,” writes the Post, “… with more than 6 in 10 claiming to have accomplished ‘not much’ or ‘little or nothing'”. Seven out of 10 independents Voters believe Biden’s presidency lacks real results.
Is this Biden likely to enter the history books alongside FDR?
Probably not. Only 8% of the nation think it made a “big deal” in its first year, which corresponds to FDR’s famous “First 100 Days” in 1933.
As to how he is handling his presidency overall, Biden has the approval of 41% and the disapproval of 53% of all Americans.
Biden is 12 points underwater. While he suffered attrition in his own Democratic Party, it is among independent voters that his losses have been staggering.
On the question of whether the government is spending too much and whether parents should play a role in deciding what to teach their children in public schools, the GOP’s position is widely supported.
That same Sunday edition of the Post describing the Biden polls contained a lengthy political analysis of the relative strength of Vice President Kamala Harris and Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg as potential Democratic candidates in 2024.
The piece’s undeclared premise appeared to be that Biden’s first term was his last, if it goes through 2024.
On the collapse of support for Biden’s presidency, questions are coming fast. Can it reverse the situation? Is friction inexorable? Are we headed for a broken presidency?
To answer the questions, consider the root causes of Biden’s decline.
Four of the problem areas where Biden and the Democrats are on the defensive are: inflation, immigration, crime, and education.
In October, the consumer price index was 6.2% higher than a year ago, the highest rise in inflation in 31 years.
Family needs for food and gasoline are showing some of the biggest price increases. Several months ago, Democrats said the price hike was “transient”. Few say it now.
The stifled supply chain for commodities from abroad looks like it will take a long time to unravel. Americans see Thanksgiving with fewer turkeys and Christmas with fewer toys.
As for the border crisis, which made it into Harris’ portfolio, it is experiencing the highest rates of illegal entry in decades, with over a million people crossing our southern border since Biden was sworn in. And they are still coming.
In the aftermath of “Defund the Police!” protests and riots in the wake of George Floyd’s death in Minneapolis in 2020, police resignations and retirements have gone hand in hand with an explosion of homicides and murders in major American cities.
Chicago has become famous for its weekly death toll.
On the issue of education, which now embraces parents’ right to review what their children are taught about race, sex and morality in their public schools, the issue likely cost Terry McAuliffe the chance to return as Virginia governor.
And Republicans now seem to be keeping up with suburban parents while Democrats appear to be on the side of leftist teachers’ unions.
Returns from Virginia and New Jersey on election day appear to confirm what ABC and the Post found in their poll:
A tidal wave could come and, if it doesn’t peak before November 2022, it will submerge Nancy Pelosi’s House and Chuck Schumer’s Senate and sink Joe Biden’s White House.
This is the climate change Democrats should be concerned about.
Patrick J. Buchanan is the author of “Nixon’s White House Wars: The Battles That Made and Broke a President and Divided America Forever”.