How will this look after party conferences?
We’re just a few weeks into the holiday conference season and while the events have been cut short, the main pieces will be the speeches by Johnson and Starmer.
Because the latter has never been able to give a great speech in front of the party’s faithful since he became leader in April last year. Your conference creates a great opportunity to become more known and focus on Labor plans in case you have a chance to enter number 10 after the next election.
At least Johnson had a party conference as leader before COVID started to dominate everything and his conference piece will get a great deal of coverage and scrutiny.
The betting market above is largely determined by whether Johnson calls before the general election or after. I can’t help but think that the great risk to Johnson is doing something that undermines Sunak and sets in motion a process that could lead to his impeachment. The response to reports over the weekend about Johnson’s feelings about Sunak has been very revealing.