The last time the United States women’s team faced Canada in an Olympic semi-final, it resulted in one of the most memorable matches in the history of women’s soccer. Fans will expect nothing short of a compelling showdown when these two rivals meet again on Monday with a spot in the 2021 Olympic gold medal match up for grabs.
He does not. USWNT, the first World Cup champion, is the favorite to enter the match with its star-studded roster. No. Eighth-ranked Canada has not beaten the US in any match, competitive or friendly, in 20 years. But when neighboring countries play in major tournaments, you could never say that the all-time series was so lopsided.
They have met twice in Olympic elimination matches in Beijing 2008 (quarter-finals) and London 2012 (semi-finals), with both matches requiring overtime, with the USA prevailing in each instance. The epic 2012 semi-final, which featured a Christine Sinclair hat trick, finished 4-3 for the Americans, and was decided on the last goal scored in Olympic Games history by Alex Morgan.
That result still irritates Canadian fans, who feel the United States capitalized on a generous amount of injury time awarded by the referee. But more than a simple revenge, the Canadians will be driven by the desire to climb the podium of bronze medals (2008 and 2012) to gold or silver. Beating the US, which has played in all but one gold medal match (2016), would achieve that goal for Canada for the first time in the show’s history. Meanwhile, the United States is seeking its fifth gold medal and the first since 2012. The winner will face Sweden or Australia in the final on Thursday.
Based on the results of the tournament so far, the match is projected as another hard-fought affair. Defense remains Canada’s strong suit, despite conceding goals in three of its four games. And the No. 1 ranked US women’s team looks vulnerable in these Olympics (1-1-2 record), although the US coach’s management of the roster has played a major role. . But. 8 Canada can stifle talented American forwards, they’ll have a chance for surprise as long as Sinclair (bottom), Janine Beckie or Nichelle Prince can make the big play on offense.
How to watch the United States vs. Canada Olympic semi-final
- Date: Monday August 2
- Weather: 4 in ET
- TV channels: US Network
- Spanish television: Telemundo
- Transmission: fuboTV, NBCOlympics.com, TelemundoDeportes.com, the NBC Sports app and the Telemundo Deportes app (with user authentication)
- Transmission from Canada: CBC approx.
USA vs. Canada will air live on USA Network and Telemundo at 4 am ET. Both networks are available to broadcast in the US. fuboTV (7-day free trial).
All Olympic football games are also streamed in the US on NBCOlympics.com, TelemundoDeportes.com, the NBC Sports app, and the Telemundo Deportes app, all with user authentication.
The game will be broadcast in Canada live on CBC.ca.
Projected USWNT vs. Canada Lineups
With Canada likely sunk, it’s fair to expect Vlatko Andonovski to present his most creative lineup (with Rose Lavelle and Lindsey Horan in midfield), with set pieces specialist Megan Rapinoe in the starting lineup. If the USWNT takes the lead and the game begins to stretch, Alex Morgan and Tobin Heath would be strong options from the bench.
It will be interesting to see if Canada coach Bev Priestman brings back Allysha Chapman on the left back with a short break after spending 109 minutes in the quarterfinals against Brazil. The most likely scenario is Jayde Riviere playing right back with Ashley Lawrence moving to left back. Vanessa Gilles also played the entire match against Brazil, and despite her outstanding performance, the rested Shelina Zadorsky was able to get the nod.
USWNT Projected Starters (4-3-3, left to right): 1-Alyssa Naeher – 2-Crystal Dunn, 4-Becky Sauerbrunn, 17-Abby Dahlkemper, 5-Kelley O’Hara – 9-Lindsey Horan, 8-Julie Ertz, 16-Rose Lavelle – 15-Megan Rapinoe, 10-Carli Lloyd, 11-Christian Press
Canada projected starters (4-2-2-2, left to right): 1-Stephanie Labbe-GK – 10-Ashley Lawrence, 4-Shelina Zadorsky, 3-Kadeisha Buchanan, 8-Jayde Riviere – 5-Quinn, 11-Desiree Scott – 12-Christine Sinclair, 17-Jessie Fleming – 16-Janine Beckie , 15-Nichelle Prince
USA vs. Canada: Odds and Prediction
In 10 games this calendar year, the Canadian women’s team has allowed more than one goal just once (to Brazil in a 2-0 loss in February), and has only scored more than one goal in three of those 10 games. Therefore, a low scoring match should be expected, although that did not happen in the 2012 Olympic semi-final (final score 4-3 for USA).
If you are choosing the conventional selection and you are stuck with the US favorite, there are several ways to play the odds based on goal totals (scored and allowed). In 16 games played this year, the USWNT has only been eliminated twice: both came in these Olympics against Sweden (3-0 loss) and Australia (0-0 draw), although they had plenty of scoring opportunities in both.
Prediction: United States 1, Canada 0
Fees courtesy of DraftKings
- Canada wins (90 minutes): +425
- Canada to move forward: +220
- Draw (90 minutes): +260
- USA wins (90 minutes): -135
- USA to advance: -285
- USA win by one goal: +205
- USA win and over 1.5 goals in total: +115
- USA win and under 1.5 goals in total: +575
- United States less than 1.5 goals scored: -105
- United States to win in shutout: +180